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根据WIND数据,截至2018年第1季度,德邦基金旗下还有这些产品总资产规模在1亿元上下或不足1亿元:德邦福鑫A,总资产规模0.47亿;德邦多元回报,总资产规模1.15亿;德邦纯债9个月,总资产规模0.55亿;德邦优化,总资产规模0.62亿。■

The retrospect of monetary policy in China shows that the necessary conditions for monetary policy transformation have been satisfied, but we also point out that the practice of monetary policy in modern sense lasts for only around twenty years, after abandoning the direct controls on credit behavior and turning to the quantity indirect policy with the money supply as the intermediate target in 1998. Central bank in China is always confronting the impetus of investment and credit expansion due the traditional growth-led economic mode. Because of the governmental preference to a higher growth rate, there are soft budget constraint sectors such as the local government vehicles, stated owned firms and housing industry enterprises. The supervisory affaires of the central bank in China were separated. While, due to the industry development dominance of the supervisory ideology, there are race to the bottom in the financial supervision, which promote the rapid growth of the shadow banking in recent years and financial risks are accumulated heavily. Although there is enough market breadth of the financial market, there are still too strict regulations and the market depth is relatively low. The monetary markets and bond markets are still separated, the admittance of the market, esp. the derivative markets are sill strictly controlled, the financial products are immature and there are still implicit dual interest track. The exchange rate is still lack of edacity.

金融市场的微观基础包括金融需求和金融供给两个方面。从金融需求角度来看,正是由于对经济增长的过度关注和国有企业等软预算约束部门的存在,资金需求过度旺盛,通过隐性担保发债或贷款融资并不是依靠自己的资本金、有多少钱办多少事,实际上是股债不分、明股实债搞发展,没有资本的约束,效率也就无法提高。因此,只有政府淡化经济增长目标,真正在良好公司治理下按照风险资本约束、根据风险收益相匹配的原则进行融资行为,真正硬化预算约束,市场微观主体的融资需求才能够更为理性,货币政策也不再受到倒逼扩张的压力,市场利率水平才能够回归合理水平。汇率形成机制改革进程相对缓慢,一定程度上也与依赖外贸的传统增长模式密切相关。从金融供给角度来看,正是在过度关注行业发展的监管政策导向下,刚性兑付难以真正打破,利率定价无法反映真实的信用溢价;金融机构更关注规模的扩张,而不是针对多样化的市场需求开展精细化的产品管理。只有综合权衡风险和收益,围绕市场资金需求提供多元化金融服务,金融机构才能够以更合理的价格真正支持实体经济发展,货币政策才能够通过利率政策价格机制引导金融机构行为,实现金融资源的有效配置。

货币可以灭失吗?可以窖藏吗?由储蓄造成的货币不容易灭失。但法币容易灭失,或者说主动发行的货币容易灭失。货币只能通过两种途径灭失,一是央行缩表,即回收基础货币,如美联储之前进行扩表实施量化宽松,买入债券,现在把买入的债券卖掉,进行缩表,把钱给收回来。我国央行2/3的资产是外汇储备,央行缩表的主要途径是减少外汇储备,因此需要永久性的对外投资或执行贸易赤字,在目前情况下,这不太可能发生。货币灭失的第二种途径是商业银行缩表,核销坏账,这种情形只有在发生经济危机的时候才会出现。

由于1—4月菜籽进口量同比增加27万吨,国内菜籽库存在5月10日触及80万吨附近高位。5—6月菜籽进口量明显减少,菜籽库存持续下降。据统计,截至8月16日当周,菜籽库存30万吨,去年同期64万吨,同比降低34万吨或53%。目前菜籽库存为过去6年同期最低水平。在菜籽进口环比继续大幅降低的情况下,未来菜籽库存将继续下降,国内菜籽供应紧张局面难以缓解。

由于“人民电影院”几个字疑似用了典型的大陆六七十年代风格字体,有一些基隆市民、表达好奇。也有网友目睹,“人民电影院”疑似在拍电影。↓然而在这些正常的讨论之中,也夹杂了少数网友的不友好的言论,有人用上了“阿六”等带有歧视大陆人意思的词语。↓与此同时,绿媒《自由时报》也利用这次饭店换招牌事件搞炒作,煽动仇视大陆。其在25日刊发了一篇标题为《被解放了吗?基隆海产楼消失惊见“人民电影院”》,还引用所谓“网友”的话称“这是沦陷了”。

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